The potential of currents for environmental management of the Baltic Sea maritime industry

BALTICWAY final report
BALTICWAY briefing on key results
Year 2 progress report
Year 1 progress report

For more relevant publications, visit (category BONUS+ reports)

Begin date 1.1.2009

End date 31.12.2011

Grant: 1685 656€

The project aims at a substantial decrease of marine-industry-induced environmental risks and impacts on bio-diversity, particularly on fragile ecosystems. The core objective is to develop a scientific platform for an innovative low-cost technology of environmental management of shipping, offshore, and coastal engineering activities. The technology will be applied to place dangerous activities in areas, an accident in which will have a minimum threat to vulnerable areas.

Our approach makes use of the existence of semi-persistent current patterns that considerably affect the properties of pollution propagation: the probability of transport of dangerous substances from different open sea areas to the vulnerable areas is largely different. For certain regions (areas of reduced risk) this probability is relatively small.

A possible solution for shift of fairway in the Gulf of Finland

The location of areas of reduced risk will be established numerically and verified experimentally. A combination of the classical risk analysis with novel mathematical methods (such as inverse methods) will be applied to identify the persistence, properties, and potential effect of such areas, and to establish generic criteria for their existence. Based on existing results, we concentrate on the Gulf of Finland and the Darss Sill.

As a first step we consider the consequences of current-induced propagation of oil spills released from ships, aiming to route ships along the least dangerous paths, much like dangerous transports on land follow predefined routes.


Environmental management, numerical simulations, risk analysis, currents, oil spill propagation

List of Participants and Principal Scientists

Institute of Cybernetics at Tallinn University of Technology, Estonia

Tarmo Soomere  (Coordinator)

Finnish Environment Institute, Finland

Kai Myrberg

Department of Meteorology, Stockholm University, Sweden

Kristofer Döös

Swedish Meteorological and Hydrological Institute, Sweden

Markus Meier

Danish Meteorological Institute, Denmark

Jun She

GKSS Research Center Geesthacht, Germany

Emil Stanev

Leibniz Institute of Marine Sciences at the University of Kiel, Germany

Andreas Lehmann

Laser Diagnostic Instruments Ltd, Estonia

Sergey Babichenko

Please visit the BalticWay webpage for more information!