Bonus EEIG

ECOSUPPORTEcosupport logo


Advanced modeling tool for scenarios of the Baltic Sea ecosystem to support decision making

ECOSUPPORT final report

ECOSUPPORT briefing document on key results

Year 2 progress report

Year 1 progress report

For more relevant publications, visit www.bonusportal.org/publications (category BONUS+ reports).


Begin date 1.1.2009

End date 31.12.2011


Grant: 1 625 305€


The response of the marine ecosystem during the 21st century depends on several, partly competing drivers, like expected reduced phosphorus and nitrogen loads, increased water temperatures, and reduced salinities. Thus, presently discussed targets for nutrient load reductions that may be sufficient to improve the ecological status in present climate might fail under future climate conditions.


The project ECOSUPPORT combines the assessments of various drivers to promote an ecosystem approach to the management of human activities. The main aim is to provide a multi-model system tool to support decision makers. The tool is based upon scenarios from an existing state-of-the-art coupled atmosphere-ice-ocean-land surface model for the Baltic Sea catchment area, physical-biogeochemical models of differing complexity, a food web model, statistical fish population models, economic calculations, and new data detailing climate effects on marine biota.


The expected outcome is an advanced modeling tool for scenario simulations of the whole marine ecosystem that can underpin and inform design strategies to ensure water quality standards, biodiversity and fish stocks. For the aims of ECOSUPPORT 12 institutes from 7 Baltic Sea countries form an excellent consortium consisting of University institutes, national governmental agencies and research institutes (including EU-recognized Centers of Excellence) with a wide range of expertise.



Keywords

Climate change, land use change, eutrophication, multi-model ensemble simulations, transient scenarios



List of Participants and Principal Scientists

Swedish Meteorological and Hydrological Institute, Sweden


Markus  Meier  (Coordinator)


Baltic Nest Institute, Resilience Centre, Stockholm University, Sweden


Thorsten Blenckner


Tjärnö Marine Biological Laboratory, Sweden


Jonathan Havenhand


Technical University of Denmark, Denmark


Brian MacKenzie


Leibniz-Institute for Baltic Sea Research, Germany


Thomas Neumann


Institute of Oceanology Polish Academy of Sciences, Poland


Jan-Marcin Weslawski


Marine Systems Institute at Tallinn University of Technology, Estonia


Urmas Raudsepp


Finnish Meteorological Institute, Finland


Tuija Ruoho-Airola


Helmholtz Zentrum Geesthacht , Germany


Eduardo Zorita


Atlantic Branch of P.P.Shirov Institute of Oceanology, Russian Academy of Sciences, Russia


Boris Chubarenko 


Linköping University, Sweden


Björn-Ola Linnér


 


Please visit the ECOSUPPORT webpage for more information!